00:00Okay, we head to Baton Rouge, LSU versus Texas, 21 versus 6.
00:05This is why LSU are still ranked 21.
00:08I know everybody's freaking out.
00:09LSU, what have they done?
00:10Stop being stupid on purpose.
00:12I'm begging you.
00:14Like, there are people in the betting space who do this.
00:16Please stop being dumb, okay?
00:19Trust me, all right?
00:20I get it.
00:21I faded LSU last week for a best bet with Alabama.
00:24But to be like, LSU's not one of the 25 best teams in the country,
00:27that's dumb.
00:27Stop doing that.
00:28I am begging you.
00:30They would lay 100 to Boise.
00:32Please, okay?
00:33They'd lay 200 to some team out of the American.
00:36Please, you're embarrassing yourself.
00:38You are supposed to be better than that.
00:40They lay four and a half year to Texas.
00:42This is an LSU spot, clear as day.
00:45Thing is, in 2026, Dave knows, been in the business for a very long time.
00:50This is in 2000.
00:512000, you might catch LSU, pick them at home, right?
00:55That doesn't happen anymore.
00:56I was hoping we'd get a three.
00:58They got rolled up by Bama.
00:59Texas with a great win.
01:00It was not even, not a prayer.
01:02It was never, ever going to be three.
01:05You got to get creative betting a game like this, Dave.
01:08Dave, I'm hoping that that's the case when I play Arch Manning through his passing prop.
01:12We've talked about Arch a ton this season.
01:14It was awesome last year.
01:16Right around this time on the calendar, it's happening again.
01:20Again, the only chance to move the ball on LSU is through the air and a potential trailing game script
01:27here.
01:27I put Arch over passing yards on my card.
01:30Yeah, these two teams are probably the hardest teams to handicap in America, and they're playing each other today.
01:35So it's apropos that we're trying to decide what to do with them.
01:38You just laid it out like you would want to get LSU at three.
01:41You would at home, at night, against Arch.
01:44At home, game, they have to have it.
01:46It's not.
01:46It's four and a half.
01:47Four and a half, you're thinking, maybe I take Texas.
01:50Texas needs it.
01:51Texas is getting four and a half.
01:52Arch turns into a different person after Halloween.
01:55Can I put my money on Texas at night, on the road, at Death Valley?
01:58Not sure I can.
01:59So it's a non-play for me.
02:01I do like your Arch play.
02:02If I did pick a side, it would be Texas, but I don't like it.
02:06That would only be the value play of me getting four and a half when I thought I was going
02:09to be getting three.
02:10These two teams, I wish they were playing each other, and I guess they still could, depending on tonight's result.
02:15I wish they played each other in the national semifinals.
02:17And you opened up the segment with telling people not to be stupid, and you're right.
02:21LSU, talent-wise, they're a top-ten team.
02:23LSU could win this national title if they get it.
02:26But they also got rolled by Alabama.
02:28Rolled by Alabama.
02:29Rolled high.
02:30They have.
02:30We both run Alabama in that one.
02:33Welcome to the SEC.
02:34Texas has three of the best wins in the country on their resume, Ohio State.
02:39They've beaten Tennessee.
02:41They've beaten, it was Ohio State, Tennessee, and Ole Miss.
02:44They got three great wins.
02:46Let's lose to Florida at home.
02:48Why?
02:48It doesn't make any sense.
02:49Welcome to the SEC.
02:50These two teams absolutely could still win the national title, and both of them could fall out of the college
02:56football playoff.
02:56They're the hardest teams to handicap.
02:58Lean Texas, not a play I do like your Arch play, though.