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00:10 It's a central showdown today, Joe Ranieri, the Chicago Cubs and
00:13 the Cincinnati Reds.
00:15 And you know what?
00:16 I don't even care who wins this game, as long as you get a little bit of offense.
00:19 And quite frankly, the Cubs don't even have to score a run for
00:23 me to cash in my ticket.
00:25 Three legs on my parlay today.
00:27 The reason behind it, Ben Lively is gonna be on the mound,
00:30 right-handed pitcher here for the Cincinnati Reds.
00:32 He's been very lively, Joe, against right-handed batters,
00:35 shutting them down completely.
00:36 29 batters he's faced from the right side over the past 30 days.
00:39 Get this, a zero iso and a 116 weighted on base percentage.
00:44 Let's avoid that side of the plate altogether, and
00:47 let's focus on the Chicago Cubs and their left-handed batters.
00:50 Why?
00:51 Cuz Lively threw 29 batters he's faced from the left side.
00:54 Get this, a 385 iso, a 452 weighted on base percentage.
00:59 And for the season, he acts as a 260 iso power number and a 348.
01:04 So whether it's early in the season or late in the season,
01:07 Lively struggling with lefties.
01:08 Let's take a look at Talkman, let's take a look at Happ, and
01:11 let's take a look at Bellinger.
01:12 Weighted on base percentage for Talkman, 357.
01:15 Happ, 319.
01:16 Bellinger, 479.
01:18 Those are my three legs to each record a hit.
01:21 And when those three guys do that, Joe Ranieri,
01:24 I'm cashing the ticket at a plus 176 price.
01:27 The central showdown for us is with the Chicago Cubs left-handed batters.
01:33 Joe, what do you got for us today?
01:34 >> Well, I looked and I love that game, Donny.
01:39 I'm with you on that same game, Paul.
01:42 And if it ain't broke, let's not fix it here, people.
01:46 And let's see, the Orioles, after winning again last night,
01:50 they're now six and one against Toronto this season here, Donny.
01:54 They basically own them.
01:55 And now Toronto, Boveshet, we don't know how long he might be out for, so
02:00 they lose another piece of the lineup there.
02:03 And yeah, Ryu is pitching for the first time in what, since 1987?
02:08 When is the last time he actually threw there, coming off a Tommy John surgery,
02:12 a lefty no less against that lineup that has been absolutely mashing them.
02:18 I can only, plus money, Donny, I mean, it's a pick 'em price.
02:23 Give me the Orioles here.
02:25 And quite honestly, I believe Bradish is going for Baltimore too.
02:28 Not exactly a great record against Toronto here, but
02:33 I have more confidence in this Baltimore team at that price.
02:37 I'm gonna take them.
02:38 I'm also gonna take the over, and
02:40 I'm going to go under in the Ryu strikeouts, because I don't think.
02:46 I hope he goes three innings,
02:48 cuz I think that's about as much as you're gonna get from him.
02:52 Expectations for him coming off a Tommy John in his first outing against this
02:56 team, aye, aye, aye, aye, aye,
02:58 this should be a very interesting game here tonight in Toronto.
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