00:00The 2026 El Nino could become the strongest in a lifetime.
00:03Our hurricane experts have very high confidence a super El Nino will develop,
00:07potentially becoming the strongest since at least 1950.
00:10El Nino happens when parts of the equatorial Pacific stay warmer than average,
00:14shifting weather patterns around the world.
00:16But whether it officially breaks the record isn't really the point.
00:19The impacts are already showing up.
00:21Extreme wind shears suppressing tropical development in the Atlantic,
00:24one reason we recently lowered our hurricane forecast.
00:27But fewer storms doesn't mean the U.S. is in the clear.
00:30Warm water near the coast could still allow storms to strengthen close to land.
00:33El Nino could also reshape our fall and winter weather,
00:36and we'll have a clearer picture when we release our winter forecast in October.
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