00:00Hello there. Welcome to your week ahead forecast from the Met Office. This week it's going to
00:05remain cold with an undercut of raw air coming in from the east, particularly across central
00:10and southern parts of England and Wales with some rain. Further north a fog risk and then
00:15we'll see a northerly wind picking up some strength towards the north and northeast of
00:19Scotland and the onset of wintry showers. So the risk of snow here through Thursday in
00:25particular cold wind before things settle down again into Friday. So a lot to contend
00:32with this week but certainly there will be some fine weather around as well. So let's
00:36pick up on some detail. Currently we have low pressure sitting towards the southwest of the
00:42UK. High pressure, casting an influence elsewhere, quiet conditions as we enter the day on Tuesday
00:49with this fog warning anywhere from Conway, Flintshire, Wrexham, much of the Midlands, East
00:55Anglia and then nudging up towards Derbyshire as well as Yorkshire and Cheshire. Now towards
01:00the north we could see some freezing fogs and not only in this warning zone as we start the
01:05day, temperatures tumbling overnight and a frost as well. So a cold morning across much of Scotland,
01:11northern England. But notice we do have two areas of rain. We have this area of rain, particularly
01:17towards the southwest where it could be fairly persistent, skirting the south coast through the
01:22morning on Tuesday and also for the west and the south of Wales. The winds will be strong and gusty
01:28towards the southwest there and an area of clouds is pushing northwards. This will bring the onset of
01:34some rain across central southern England, much of Wales as well as the Midlands through the afternoon.
01:39At the same time, if you cast your eye towards the north of Scotland, here we are seeing some
01:45showery bursts of rain. Notice the wind has shifted round to a northerly direction and that really sets
01:51the scene for the middle part of the week with that cold air streaming in from the north and those
01:56showery bursts turning more wintry through Wednesday and into Thursday. However, for the likes of say the
02:03central belt of Scotland and even some parts of Northern Ireland towards the northwest, you'll see a fine day
02:09if not with some brighter breaks coming through. But wherever you are, temperatures will struggle.
02:14And even though it says here 11-12 across the south part of England, yes, it's going to feel colder
02:20than that and certainly that will be the case across the north there as well. And that fog through the
02:25morning could linger on where you see a lighter breeze for the Midlands, the Vale of York, only slowly
02:31lifting into low clouds. So quite a murky morning and a cloudy afternoon as that cloud travels northwards.
02:38However, this front here will stall across this zone as we head through Tuesday evening and
02:44overnight. It's slow moving. At the same time, noticed towards the north, the air does turn
02:50colder. So for Armistice Day, a quiet start across Scotland and Northern Ireland, Northern England with
02:56some frost and also some early fog with this slow moving weather front continuing to bring cloud and
03:02some rain as we head through the day. So it could be described as a grotty day across these parts
03:08with
03:09that rain just coming and going throughout the morning and into the afternoon. You can see these
03:14showers gathering, bands of showers pushing down towards mainland Scotland, frequent bursts for
03:20places such as Shetland, Orkney and also the Outer Hebrides. In between, as that cloud breaks,
03:26any fog breaks up and it dissolves away, we'll see some brighter breaks, some sunshine. Again,
03:33central and southern parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland, although the wind will pick up here
03:37and even the far north of England. Elsewhere, always a lot of cloud, but the rain is retreating
03:43through Wednesday, but it does linger on, particularly across the west country in the south coast and a
03:48little rain where the cloud is thick enough across central parts of England. Notice the winds will be
03:53fresh towards the southwest and also strong towards the north as well as the northeast and in fact,
03:58touching near Galeforce as we head through Wednesday and into Thursday. Temperatures then
04:04again will be below average for this time of year, seven degrees Celsius across Scotland, perhaps a 10 in
04:11shelter for the southeast of Northern Ireland, for mid Wales nine and then perhaps 11 towards the
04:16southeast. But with that breeze coming in from the northeast, a chilly direction, yes, it is going to feel
04:21cold with that wind. So through Wednesday evening, notice the air streaming southwards, cold air that
04:29that and organized bands of showers moving in so readily turning wintry across the far north and northeast
04:37of Scotland. For Shetland, you will find those showers could be of soft hail, say, but also those
04:44strong winds. And despite the fact we could just hang on to some less cold air across the far south,
04:49that cold air extending southward throughout the morning and also into the afternoon. So a chilly old
04:56day with some frost to start the day as well. Notice the rush of showers moving in with the risk
05:02of those wintry downpours here. Sunshine inland though across England and Wales, even southern Scotland,
05:09Northern Ireland towards the east, but exposed to that northerly wind, you will see some showers moving
05:14in and also clipping this east coast. So a wind which will have some strength and a chill
05:20associated with it and also showers along the east coast of England. Temperatures are struggling
05:26throughout the day, four to six degrees Celsius, perhaps a nine in the south. But through Thursday
05:32evening and overnight towards the west, we'll see high pressure attempting to assert its influence.
05:39Still strong winds across Shetland into the first part of Friday and also down this east coast where
05:46there could be some showers, certainly a rash of showers towards the north and northwest of Scotland.
05:51And you could find with the wind direction on Friday, a northwesterly breeze. We could see some
05:56running down the Irish Sea from the North Channel. Inland though, it'll be a fine day with some
06:01sunshine coming through. After a chilly one though, temperatures struggling to rise very quickly.
06:06So six to eight, nine degrees Celsius and frequent showers towards the end of the day towards western
06:12parts of Scotland, certainly the far north of Scotland. But by this point, along that east coast
06:17of England, southeast Scotland, those showers should be offshore. So that's the picture throughout the
06:23week. Notice Friday into Saturday, the air remains cold. So the risk of fog and frost returns as we see
06:31high pressure assert itself and we could see a little rain across the far north there. But things will
06:36slowly change through the weekend and into next week. Wherever you are, have a great week, wrap up warm
06:42and I'll see you again soon.
