00:00Hi there, the autumn equinox this week marks the point at which the northern hemisphere starts to
00:06tilt more away from the sun rather than towards it, but it will feel once more like summer with
00:13average temperatures for July expected across south and southeast England at times this week.
00:20Having said that, it's not going to be dry and sunny everywhere. We do have a weather front
00:23moving into the northwest during Tuesday. That sinks into central and western parts of Scotland,
00:28increases the cloud through Northern Ireland as well. You can see how the rain is on and off
00:32pulsating through the day, dribs and drabs primarily, but turning heavier and more persistent for parts
00:37of Northern Ireland by the afternoon. Ahead of that, a largely cloudy day for many parts of England and
00:43Wales, especially towards the north and the west. A few spots of rain, best of the sunshine in the
00:47southeast of England, and that's where temperatures will peak at 25, possibly 26 Celsius. Like I say,
00:53these are the kinds of average temperatures we expect in July rather than late September. So
00:59a very warm day for the time of year, low 20s further north and west. Even where we've got those
01:04outbreaks of rain across Scotland and Northern Ireland, it's not cold, but it's not going to feel
01:08very pleasant either. Now, that weather front initially is a weak affair. It's running into high
01:14pressure at the surface, but when you look higher up in the atmosphere, there's this little dip in the
01:19jet stream that's approaching the UK for later Tuesday into Wednesday, and it actually sharpens.
01:24Now, there's some uncertainty at the moment about how much this will sharpen as it approaches the UK
01:30and its exact location, and that's important because it's going to increasingly interact with
01:36our weather front as it runs south into southern and eastern Scotland and northern England by the start
01:41of Wednesday. This little dip in the jet stream, otherwise known as an upper trough, well, that's an area of
01:47low pressure higher up in the atmosphere. It can cause the air to rise. It can cause the rain along
01:51the front to intensify, and you can see the difference by the start of Wednesday that that
01:55makes. We've got the rain heavy at times for eastern parts of Northern Ireland, southern and central
02:00Scotland, eastern Scotland, and into the far north of England. A miserable start to the day, poor conditions
02:06for the morning rush. It does push south into northern and central England, parts of Wales as well.
02:12It's a very showery affair by the time it reaches central areas of the UK. You can see how this
02:17heavy rain at times could cause some issues, especially for southern and eastern Scotland,
02:22the far north of England, for example, earlier in the day. Ahead of it, we keep some of that warmth,
02:27but increasingly cloudy skies mean that temperatures won't be quite as high as Tuesdays. As the front clears,
02:33we've got clearing skies towards the north and the west, albeit with fresher air arriving,
02:37and high pressure returning for a time on Thursday. So Thursday starts off with those
02:43clearer skies overnight and lower humidities. It's actually going to be rather cold. Having
02:48seen the autumn equinox on Wednesday, well, Thursday morning will feel very autumnal out
02:55there with temperatures widely in the single figures and in some spots, for example, rural
03:00Wales, northern England, four degrees, rural parts of Scotland down to one or two degrees,
03:06a touch of frost in places. But a bright start to the day widely across the country. We keep those
03:11sunny skies for many areas into the afternoon, with light winds towards the east. Actually,
03:17in the sunshine, despite that cold start, we're still managing to get to the high teens, low 20s.
03:24But it clouds over for Scotland and Northern Ireland, increasingly breezy ahead of the next system,
03:30which will bring some rain into the far northwest. In fact, that's going to be a strong wind
03:34accompanying the next weather front. It's attached to this very deep area of low pressure, which is
03:39heading towards Iceland, well away from the UK. But the front dangles in across Scotland,
03:44Northern Ireland and tightly packed isobars in the far northwest means there's the risk of
03:49gales and exposed parts of northwestern Scotland during Friday. The rain sinks south across Scotland
03:55and Northern Ireland early Friday, but it's going to be coming and going through the day. I think it
04:01will eventually affect Northern England, parts of West Wales and perhaps even Cornwall as the day
04:06progresses. Ahead of that, sunnier spells and after another cool start to the day in the southeast,
04:12temperatures still managing to get towards the mid-20s. But it's going to feel notably cooler
04:18towards the northwest, where that strong wind will be blowing in frequent showers behind the main band
04:24of rain. So this band of rain, there's some uncertainty about it's exact location as we go through Friday
04:30and the intensity of the rainfall. Either way, it tends to peel away for the start of the weekend and
04:36then a repeat performance this weekend. Low pressure systems heading towards Iceland, weather fronts
04:42pushing into northwestern parts of the country, but high pressure clinging on towards the southeast.
04:46So this northwest-southeast contrast continues on Saturday and Sunday. The further northwest you are,
04:54the more likely you are to get some rain at times, strong breeze, etc. The further southeast you are,
04:59the more likely you are to experience drier, sunnier and really quite warm weather for the time of year.
05:06As always, keep you updated right here on our YouTube channel. But for now, that's all from me. Bye-bye.
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