00:00The Browns are five and two, but they're plus one 80 to make the playoffs.
00:06And they're plus six 50 to win the division right now.
00:10Are you, are you on board that this Cleveland run is complete smoke and mirrors and they're
00:15going to come back down to earth?
00:17Because I've watched the majority of the Browns games this year.
00:20And I got to tell you, I mean, I think they're the best team in the division.
00:24I think that six 50 is unbelievably attractive and it was 10 to one yesterday before their
00:31win.
00:31Now it's six 50.
00:33So it's almost cut in half after the win yesterday.
00:36I was telling people bet them to win the division at 10 to one before they win today and go
00:41to six 50, which is where they're at.
00:43But what's your outlook on what's going on in Cleveland?
00:46I still think the Bengals are the best team in the division.
00:48I just don't think the Bengals have played their best football today, but we saw them
00:51play better.
00:52Or like they rallied the troops and had a fantastic second half.
00:55I think that all the parts and pieces of that defense are still kind of molding into its
01:00final form.
01:01Again, slow starts for Joe Burrow in the offense, the run game, all the things in between.
01:06So the Bengals are still like, I think, hands down the best team in that division.
01:10But to your point, is it insane to take a sniff on the Browns at plus six 50?
01:14No, I don't think it's insane.
01:15Like I'm not telling anybody to go out there and bet two freaking units on it, but like laying
01:20a half a unit on that or laying a full unit on the Browns to make the playoffs.
01:23Because the other thing, when we look at the, just take the hundredth of you with the AFC,
01:28who is the juggernaut that's standing up?
01:31Like who, who's, who's the team that like cannot be toppled?
01:35Who's the team that's like going to go defeated, man?
01:38Like every one of these freaking teams has warts.
01:42And for all of the Brown stuff, I mean, this is kind of like the team who commanders of
01:47yesteryear, where it's like Munkin's doing his best Dan Quinn, they're winning games and
01:51stuff.
01:52And it's like, Oh, how the hell are they doing it?
01:54And it's like, I know how they're doing it.
01:56It's their defense.
01:57Their defense is playing lights out in most different parts of pieces.
02:02And they're doing just enough to win games.
02:05Now, does that keep happening when, okay, let's also go through their schedule.
02:10They played cam ward.
02:12They played a Lamar Jackson, less Ravens.
02:14They played the damn jets.
02:15They played the Steelers.
02:16They played the Panthers, the Buccaneers.
02:19They lost against the Jaguars.
02:21So.
02:23And again, walk it.
02:24Okay.
02:24Can they beat the Steelers again?
02:25Can they beat the saints?
02:26Can they keep it up?
02:27Sure.
02:27I mean, their schedule is doing them a lot of, but their schedule is so.
02:32Screwed up.
02:33They play four.
02:35We thought it was going to be tough.
02:36We thought it was going to be tough.
02:37No, it was on paper.
02:38It was the fourth easiest schedule going into the season, but they play four consecutive
02:42home games.
02:43D bro.
02:44After they play the Steelers in the saints, they play four straight games.
02:49Texans Raiders, Bengals Falcons.
02:52When they come back to Cleveland after the road trip, they, when they land on 11, eight,
02:58they don't leave again until 12, 20.
03:01December 20th.
03:02They're at home for five straight weeks in Cleveland in November, December.
03:08I don't know, man.
03:10I'm coming around going like, maybe it's not when the division, but plus one 80 to make
03:15the post season.
03:16I think the Sean Watson might be in the playoffs this year.
03:19He might be, he might be.
03:20But to your point, like with the way that their schedule lays out and all of these teams
03:26that we thought were going to be good or like the Texans, like right, man, like these
03:32teams that we thought were going to be like, you know, take them down a notch.
03:35Now, can that still happen against this run of the Bengals, Falcons, Giants, Ravens, if
03:40Lamar comes back?
03:42Absolutely.
03:42Sure.
03:43That's why you go ahead and bet them to get, because I think that you're going to see an
03:48ebb and flow of their odds.
03:49Peralt, like to your point, after they play the Steelers, the saints and the Texans, if
03:54they beat the Texans, all of their odds are going to move towards them being a favorite
03:58to do all the things we're talking about right now.
04:00Oh yeah.
04:00But so like, it's like bet them now or bet them after the stretch that they get the
04:05Bengals, Falcons and Giants.
04:07I think you're probably getting your best odds for everything we just kind of laid out right
04:11now, because they're not going to move once they've moved into a more positive fashion,
04:16they're not going to move the other direction fast enough or hard enough to where we're going
04:20to get numbers like this probably again.
04:22So I think we're going to make these bets, make them now.
04:25But to your point, could they be a wildcard team?
04:28Yeah, they could.
04:29But I think that them being a wildcard team also says two different things to me, Peralt.
04:35One, their schedule, it's an absolute reflection of their schedule.
04:39Number two, it says more about the state of the AFC to me.
