00:00It's fair to say the weather this week is looking pretty settled.
00:03Not totally dry, there will be some showers around and also a bit of a breeze, but on the whole
00:08quite calm.
00:09That's because the jet stream is meandering north of the UK and we have this big blocking high over us
00:15and that's going to dominate our weather through the week.
00:18It is going to become less intense, so the pressure dropping a little bit as we go through the week,
00:23but nonetheless the weather, like I say, staying pretty calm.
00:27The devil is in the detail, however, particularly when it comes to chasing the cloud
00:31because that will make all the difference when it comes to the temperatures.
00:35We start Tuesday then, a bit of a frosty start across some northern parts, some mist and fog here as
00:40well.
00:40Elsewhere, a bit milder because there's a brisk breeze towards the south,
00:44so that breeze will actually make it feel quite chilly at times, especially in those east and southeastern parts.
00:49And here there will be quite a few showers pushing their way in through the day.
00:52Other eastern areas likely to see some showers coming in from the east, perhaps fewer showers towards the west
00:58and a greater chance of staying dry with some bright sunny spells.
01:02Now, temperatures are going to be around average for the time of year,
01:04but feeling a fair bit chillier than we've become used to really so far this autumn,
01:09especially in that breeze towards the southeast.
01:11And if you're stuck under the cloud, it's going to feel quite chilly.
01:14Where you get any sunshine, the lighter winds towards the north, well, not feeling too bad at all.
01:18High pressure continues to dominate through Tuesday and into Wednesday.
01:23Where we're closer towards the centre of the high, we have the lighter winds.
01:26So again, across parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland, perhaps northern England,
01:29greater chance of a bit of frost and also some mist and fog developing.
01:33Further south, a brisk breeze stopping much fog developing here.
01:38There will still be some showers coming in from the east.
01:41Fewer showers across parts of the southeast on Wednesday compared to Tuesday.
01:44A few perhaps, but not as many as I'm expecting on Tuesday.
01:47The showers perhaps most likely over some parts of northern England, perhaps northern Ireland too.
01:52And a few could push in along the English Channel and affect parts of the southwest of England too.
01:57Temperatures still, well, most places just about getting into double digits.
02:02Still that breeze towards the south and the east,
02:04and so that will make it feel a bit fresher than these temperatures may suggest.
02:08That high pressure then is, like I say, dropping a little bit through the week.
02:12And we have cloud trapped underneath it.
02:16So as we go later on this week, I'm expecting the winds to ease a little bit in the south
02:21and there to be more cloud around as well.
02:24So there could be some radiation fog developing, yes.
02:27So where the skies are clear, some fog forming, but also some low cloud fog,
02:31some murkiness over some parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland and northern England in particular through Thursday morning.
02:36And then we do have some showery rain again coming in from the east,
02:39similarly across parts of Scotland, maybe Northern Ireland and northern England too.
02:43Drier towards the south, and whilst it perhaps will be a bit cloudier than earlier on in the week,
02:48the winds will be easing a little bit as well.
02:50So, well, that's the reversal in fortunes of some sort compared to what we start the week with.
02:56Still high pressure dominating through Thursday and as we go towards the very end of the week,
03:01you can sort of see the isobars are a bit further apart than they are at the start of the
03:05week,
03:05which is why there will be less of a breeze, still a bit of a breeze coming in from the
03:09east,
03:09and it will still be this breeze that's bringing those showery bursts of rain in.
03:14So it's eastern areas where we're most likely to see them,
03:16perhaps some feeding further westwards across some parts of northern England towards Northern Ireland.
03:21But some signs that we could see some drier, sunnier weather across southern and southeastern parts,
03:26but it's always worth bearing in mind there's the potential for some showers to feed in along the English Channel
03:31and still affect parts of the southwest.
03:33Temperatures may be dropping a little bit,
03:35so more likely to see temperatures struggling to get into double digits across some parts,
03:40particularly where that cloud lingers.
03:42Even if the winds are light, the sun's not got much strength behind it,
03:46so where that cloud sticks around, it is going to feel pretty chilly indeed.
03:51Now, if we look at the rainfall totals, and it's a somewhat worrying picture,
03:55there will be some rain, most of us will see a bit with the showers coming through,
03:59and like I say, there are some bursts of rain coming towards parts of the west country at times as
04:04well.
04:04But these rainfall totals, when you add them up for the whole week,
04:08they're not particularly high anywhere,
04:10and many places are still in desperate need of a fair amount of rain,
04:14and that just doesn't look like it's going to come any time soon.
04:18Even as we go into this coming weekend,
04:20high pressure still looks likely to be in charge, at least to start off with.
04:24So more largely fine dry weather, with some bright sunny spells at times.
04:28It could be quite cloudy at times as well.
04:31And then later on, Sunday into Monday,
04:34signs that we may see some unsettled weather starting to come in from the southwest,
04:38but it's a wee way away,
04:40and so the fine dry weather looks likely to continue for quite a while yet.
04:44Good news if you have any fireworks plants, which should be dry for many,
04:48but just watch out for that mist and fog.
04:50Bye-bye.
