00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - Shane, how does the model preview
00:04 this game in Fenway tonight?
00:05 - So we're getting plus money with Senga on the mound
00:09 and we're gonna take it.
00:10 We're gonna take the Mets.
00:11 He's hot right now.
00:13 He's pitching great at the right time.
00:14 Four and three record 3.97 road ERA is pretty solid.
00:18 But in his last four starts,
00:20 he's only allowed six earned runs.
00:21 Over all four of them,
00:22 lefties are only hitting 189, righties are hitting 216.
00:25 You know, Boston's a hit or miss team.
00:27 They can get hot, they can get super cold, right?
00:29 I feel you come out, you don't allow base runners early.
00:32 Senga will get rolling, we can feel good about that.
00:35 Especially because they got Crawford on the mound.
00:37 Crawford's another guy where he could lock in,
00:39 he could shut you down and you'd be like,
00:40 where did this come from?
00:42 But we don't see it enough to actually trust it
00:44 for him to be a minus 144 favorite.
00:47 He's had four home starts, he's 0-1 in those games.
00:49 He has a 5.60 ERA.
00:51 Boston's just coming off dropping a series to Oakland,
00:54 so that's not great for the confidence.
00:55 And then the Mets,
00:56 the young guys are heating up a little bit.
00:57 Alvarez, Beatty, they're hitting the ball all over the park.
01:00 Crawford does show horribly with righties,
01:02 so I think it's a great chance for Alonzo, Pham,
01:04 a couple of those guys to get going.
01:06 270 average to righties,
01:07 so they're gonna get some runners on base.
01:09 I think they'll be able to kind of get them
01:10 out of his comfort zone and get us a win here.
01:13 (upbeat music)
01:15 [MUSIC]
