00:00 (upbeat music)
00:03 - How does the model break this game down?
00:05 - Yeah, the model, we're all over the brewers here.
00:08 So, and like I say a lot,
00:10 this is what I love about the model, right?
00:12 Normally the model loves, they love the Braves.
00:14 They love the Rangers.
00:15 Today, no, we're looking at it,
00:17 not with any type of, oh, Kuna this and that.
00:20 We're really looking at what's most important here.
00:23 What's most important here
00:24 is the brewers are playing good ball, right?
00:25 They just won a road series at Philly.
00:27 They won the two series with the Reds.
00:28 They're clicking at the right time.
00:30 You got Peralta on the mound,
00:31 four and three at home with the 3.8, a home ERA.
00:34 But most importantly, in those 10 starts at home,
00:37 the team is seven and three.
00:38 He goes deep into the games.
00:39 He doesn't really leave them in bad situation.
00:41 Doesn't go too hard on the bullpen.
00:43 He also has had great success
00:45 against a couple of the bigger names in the lineup.
00:47 Akuna's only one for six.
00:49 Albies is one for 12.
00:50 Olsen's O for three.
00:51 Azuna's three for 13.
00:52 So he's gonna have some confidence
00:54 that he can go out there and get it done,
00:55 which a lot of pitchers go in,
00:57 facing that line, I'm going to the game,
00:58 probably feeling defeated.
00:59 So we like that a lot.
01:01 And then on the flip here,
01:02 we're gonna have Soroka on the mound,
01:03 coming back off injury.
01:05 Three out of five of his starts,
01:06 he hasn't made it past four innings.
01:08 We know the Braves just had that crazy 16-13 game
01:11 with the Diamondbacks, very taxing on the bullpen.
01:13 They had two decent starts the last two games,
01:15 but still had to go into the pen.
01:16 So I don't feel like they're set up,
01:18 you know, in a great position here for Soroka
01:20 to only be able to give them four or five innings.
01:22 So yeah, we like the brewers to get it done here today.
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01:28 (upbeat music)